The use of deterministic model runs in calculating capacity at risk metrics can lower barriers to entry for modelers and communications with stakeholders. Here, we introduce a screening metric called “capacity at risk” and two complementary metrics-robust capacity and risk ratio-for identifying the most decision-relevant uncertainties and for understanding which investments could be robust and which are more uncertain across a range of different futures. Although there are methods for decision analysis in these contexts, there are few simple metrics to guide analysts and decision-makers on whether more sophisticated methods are appropriate, to highlight aspects of robust decision-making, and to prioritize information gathering on uncertainties. Many decision contexts are characterized by deep uncertainty where there is disagreement about values and probabilities such as policy and technological uncertainties for energy sector investments. Accordingly, this article finally presents the future research prospects and provides managerial insights for policy makers and enterprise managers to accelerate the development of renewable energy resources and to achieve green, low-carbon, coordinated and sustainable development. Furthermore, this paper shows that the exploitation and utilization of renewable energy and the sustainable development of the energy industry chain and supply chain have become the major focus of scholars and governments in recent years. In addition, the studies of coordinated operation mechanisms, risk control and the impact of government policies on the energy supply chain still have some shortcomings. Based on the analytical results, this paper finds that research gaps exist in the studies of energy consumption structure and resource consumption in energy industry chain. This paper conducts a systematic review of the existing literature on the energy industry chain and energy supply chain. The reduction of carbon emissions from the energy industry chain and the coordinated development of the energy supply chain have attracted widespread attention.
0 kommentar(er)
